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by tim333
292 days ago
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I sympathise with most of Zitron's points but re the quips "You Just Don’t Get It" and "AI Is Powerful, and Getting Exponentially More Powerful", I think Zirton doesn't really get it. It's not that AI is getting exponentially more powerful but the hardware it runs on is in a steady Moore's law like way, which allows the AI to get better in more of a linear manner. In the past, chess programs advanced steadily in ELO scores as a result or hardware improvements, allowing the year they would beat the human champion to be predicted fairly well and now AI is advancing in something like IQ in a similar way. I'm not sure Zitron gets that - he acts like it's just some novel software we've come up with that isn't really that good. Which is sort of like thinking Computer-Chess 1975 was just some software that wasn't very good and so talking about computers getting better than humans was nonsense. Of course Deep Blue beat Kasparov in 1997 and now chess computers are about ELO 3500 against about 2800 for the human champion. Similar will probably happen in AI. |
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