[jmaestrooper]

Very dumbed-down take on the subject. What's "AI"? ChatGPT and Google AlphaFold are both AI.

I very much doubt speech and voice recognition and synthesis, as well as visual object recognition, are "as good as they will get" (however scary some of the practical applications might look like). Ditto specialized neural networks like aforementioned AlphaFold.

General-purpose chatbots trained on randomly selected data from stolen books and social media (and increasingly on its own slop)? Very likely.

Architectures allowing the said chatbots trigger actions online or (worse yet) IRL? Almost definitely.

[mvdtnz]

As you well know, even when you're pretending you don't, in this context when people say "AI" they mean LLMs like ChatGPT and Claude, not AlphaFold.

[jmaestrooper]

I very much disagree. Terms and definitions matter, and in this case what you mean by "AI" changes the answer. Again, general-purpose LLMs might be a dead end. Specialized neural networks are not. One might argue that even specialized LLMs (ie fine tuned for code generation) have ways to go, too.

I'm not sure about target audience of the TheRegister but here on HN we should be more precise in our discussion.