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by hiAndrewQuinn 299 days ago
At 18? Who is starting a family at 18 years old in that climate?

Claude Opus's Fermi estimate of the number of 18 year olds, making at least $100,000 a year, in California, with children, to be about 8 people. Not 8 thousand, not 8 hundred. Eight. Single digit. In a state of 40 million people.

2 comments

Then what is this 100K good for? Paying for food and living with roommates? This is not great.
I make >100k, I own 5 appartments and 1.5 houses but I live in a flat, just because it's better than living alone.
That’s also because it’s just making that number up.

I guarantee you there are more than that just from trust funders/people working for their parents and religious enough to start families early.

Stop pasting LLM slop here.

I'll give you even odds that the number is within 4 orders of magnitude of correct. That is to say, in the year of 2025, there are/were fewer than 100,000 18 year olds, resident in the state of California, who have at least one child, and who made over $100,000 that year. If you prove me wrong I'll happily concede the point.
lol. +- 4 orders of magnitude? You’re not even making a point.