[indigoabstract]

I think you would have really enjoyed living in the '50s, when the future was bright and colonizing Mars was basically a solved problem.

What we got instead is a bunch of wisecracking programmers who like to remind everyone of the 90–90 rule, or the last 10 percent.

[ninetyninenine]

Mars wasn't part of the 90-90 rule genius. If you know your history, it's mainly because political interest was lost. Technologically sending someone to mars is 100000000x more feasible than agi simply because the technology and theory exists such that we can do it.

AGI is part of the last 10 percent rule. But like that's the entire issue. 90% is still 90% progress. That is massive. And the hype surrounding LLMs has made people forget how far 90% is. People are going, "LLMs are retarded because it has the IQ of a 5 year old". They don't realize how even getting it to the level of a 5 year old was impossible for decades and decades.

[ninetyninenine]

Wisecracking programmers lol. You talk as if programming is like something to be proud of. It’s one of the most lucrative jobs with ease of entry as a boot camp can turn someone from zero to hero in a year.

And then you mouth off a buzz phrase not even coined by a programmer but repeated to the point of annoyance about how the final 10 percent is always the hardest as if programmers who copy the phrase are so smart.

Bro the last 10 percent being the hardest doesn’t mean the previous 90 percent didn’t happen. The first 90 percent is a feat in itself and LLMs can now even do PRs. That was a feat no one just 5 years ago could have predicted was possible in our lifetimes.

Idiot programmers and their generic wise cracks were the ones saying that AI would never be able to pass the Turing test and this was just 4 years ago.