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by frozenport 300 days ago
Yo what’s the next hype cycle that smart folks like us should be working on?
6 comments

The next hype-cycle might not relate to software. I'm thinking of the (smaller, shorter) phase where "nanotechnology" was getting slapped onto everything including laundry detergent.
mRNA was set to be huge but US voters apparently didnt want it.
Defense will increasingly become a national priority over the next few decades. Pax Americana is teetering.
That and consumer robotics. The latter will explode if (big if) RL and llm reasoning get combined into something solid. Lots and lots of smart people are working on it already of course, we are seeing great improvements but nothing really usable. i think we will finally get to a real hype stage in maybe 3-4 years
That’s the $100M question. Pick the answer correctly and you’ll get record breaking compensation levels.
Probably defense and robotics.
The US mix of government and enterprise. You want Capital you need to be MAGA

"Donald Trump and Silicon Valley's Billionaire Elegy" - https://www.wired.com/story/donald-trump-and-silicon-valleys...

"Secret White House spreadsheet ranks US companies based on loyalty to Trump" - https://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2025/08/15/secret-white...

Smartest people will be working against that. You're thinking of opportunistic people with myopia.
Pretty much the entire tech industry has bent the knee by now - they even gifted the new ruler with golden statues. It's not just a handful of people...
Few people have the balls to do the right thing when the risks pass a certain limit. And yet it's most important to do the right thing at the largest scale.
and when Trump keels over and dies, what happens then? sort of a brittle business plan
The law firms failed to do so.
Some of them have certainly flagged themselves as opportunistic and myopic.