[ToValueFunfetti]

>SamA has been promising AGI next year for three years like Musk has been promising FSD next year for the last ten years.

Has he said anything about it since last September:

>It is possible that we will have superintelligence in a few thousand days (!); it may take longer, but I’m confident we’ll get there.

This is, at an absolute minimum, 2000 days = 5 years. And he says it may take longer.

Did he even say AGI next year any time before this? It looks like his predictions were all pointing at the late 2020s, and now he's thinking early 2030s. Which you could still make fun of, but it just doesn't match up with your characterization at all.