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by ht-syseng 310 days ago
This is the state equivalent of a human gouging out their own eyes to avoid dealing with the fact that a train is barrelling towards them instead of stepping off the tracks.
2 comments

Death cults be like...
The data this satellite collects is used to promote climate regulation and legislation. The authors of the article can’t even come up with other ostensible uses for it. Farmers care about carbon dioxide levels? Good one.

The equivalent would be a democrat administration using government force to shut down data collection they don’t like because it will be used to promote policies they don’t want. Kind of like how the Biden admin’s FAA restricted drone use at the southern border during the migrant crisis.

I think the word you’re looking for is “like” instead of “equivalent”.

No, these are not equivalent scenarios. Not even a little bit similar.
In both scenarios the government is using their power to prevent data collection they don’t like.

How are they not equivalent?

In the sense that restricting drone use does not destroy assets that were expensive to create and launch, and are currently generating significant value for the American taxpayer and the world. We already paid for them, and now we're maintaining them for next to nothing.

Also, note that the yearly maintainance cost is in the same order of magnitude as a single presidential golf trip. TBC, I'm not against presidential leisure, everyone needs a break sometimes - but the cost argument doesn't hold up.

Additionally, the migrant crisis is specific to current American political environment. Climate change is an issue which threatens humanity, and even if one is purely self-interested and doesn't care for famines in the third world, will directly cost the taxpayer trillions of dollars of the next century via extreme weather events and relocation/insurance bailouts, and indirectly cost hundreds of billions more via stunted productivity.

Restricting drone use for petty political reasons is not equivalent to pro-actively de-orbiting functional satellites that are working to mitigate existential risk.

Just because it cost money to put the satellite into orbit doesn’t mean that it has value. Would a buyer pay $15M a year for the data produced by this satellite? Maybe, but the fact that the government put it into orbit and not a private company is telling.

Realistically, because it is owned by the government, it’s worth exactly what the government says it is. Just ask the Biden administration who sold materials for the border wall far below cost.

How does this satellite mitigate existential risk? We already know carbon dioxide contributes to climate change. We should spend money on reducing it, not on costly projects that tell us things we already know.

Speaking of existential risk, the US national debt is a far more urgent and certain risk than climate change. At least decommissioning this satellite helps on that front. How much carbon gets removed from the atmosphere if we keep it operational?

> Just because it cost money to put the satellite into orbit doesn’t mean that it has value.

True. But the fact that it was actively generating valuable data does.

> Would a buyer pay $15M a year for the data produced by this satellite? Maybe, but the fact that the government put it into orbit and not a private company is telling.

Not really. One of of the first things you learn in an economics class is the notion of a "public good": goods which are provided by the government that increase the wellbeing of society, but for which no individual actor in society is incentivized to create or maintain. Street lights and interstate road networks are the prototypical examples, the original GPS constellation might be another candidate.

> Realistically, because it is owned by the government, it’s worth exactly what the government says it is.

EDIT: My original response to this point was weak, the revision is: certain subsets of the government (like NASA) consider it valuable. Other subsets of the government are seeking to destroy it because they don't like the data it produces. The latter subset does not consist of scientists, and has an active political interest in suppressing that information. I think that the former subset of the government is more capable of an accurate value assessment in this context.

> Just ask the Biden administration who sold materials for the border wall far below cost.

I do not have access to Biden admin officials and have no idea what you're talking about so I'll take your word for it.

> How does this satellite mitigate existential risk? We already know carbon dioxide contributes to climate change. We should spend money on reducing it, not on costly projects that tell us things we already know.

Here's the wiki link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orbiting_Carbon_Observatory_2

Understanding a threat is a necessary precursor to defeating it. In a concrete sense, this data is necessary for models that facilitate prediction of effects that inform policy decisions we make. Metaphorically, if you're in a forest and you know that a grizzly bear is out to get you, knowing the direction of and arrival time of the bear useful information. Except that doesn't do it justice, because in this metaphor, we've already constructed a lookout tower, and you're taking the position that burning down the lookout tower will save us the effort of having to climb the ladder, and we already know a bear is coming for us anyways so who cares?

> Speaking of existential risk, the US national debt is a far more urgent and certain risk than climate change. At least decommissioning this satellite helps on that front.

I agree that the national debt is a serious issue, but I already addressed the cost point in a previous comment.

> How much carbon gets removed from the atmosphere if we keep it operational?

Directly? None. Indirectly? Speculative. Whether it directly removes carbon is different than whether it provides insight which allow us to more efficiently and effectively deal with the risk by predicting how it will materialize, which is objective anyways. Historically, a strategy of "we're going to destroy assets that provide valuable information because we don't like the reality they present" has never worked out.

You mean the TFR that was temporary and had exceptions for Fox News? https://www.foxnews.com/politics/bidens-faa-places-temporary...

Yes totally stopped gathering data.

Whether or not they were successful in preventing that data from being collected is irrelevant. That set the precedent for this kind of behavior.
There is an assumption of intent happening here that the Biden admin did this to prevent collection of data.

That's not something I've seen actually proven tbh.

There is an assumption of intent happening here that the Trump admin is downing this satellite to prevent the collection of climate change data.

That’s not something I’ve seen actually proven, either.

But don’t take my word for it though. From the article itself:

“We can only speculate as to why the Trump administration wants to end the missions.”

Stop being a pedant. You and I both know why Biden restricted those drone flights and why Trump wants this satellite destroyed.

This is an instrument that cost hundreds of millions of dollars. More than half a billion considering the others in the program. It is still producing data. If you are arguing in favor of destroying this asset, then you have ulterior motive or terrible judgement.
> Farmers care about carbon dioxide levels?

But I thought it was good for plants? You appear to have some cognitive dissonance at play.

Go talk to a farmer. They pay attention to a lot of metrics, but local carbon dioxide levels are not one of them.

Use your brain. If farmers actually found this data valuable, the author of that article would have found someone who was using it and interviewed them.

That they did not tells you all you need to know.