[seanmcdirmid]

> "Auto Pilot: a device for keeping an aircraft or other vehicle on a set course without the intervention of the pilot."

All an auto pilot on an aircraft does is keep the plane flying in a straight line at a constant speed. It mostly doesn't do obstacle avoidance, or really anything else. Yes, you don't need intervention of the pilot, because it turns out going in a straight line in an airplane is pretty hard to screw up.

From that standard at least, modern cruise controls are more capable than airplane auto pilots. There is a widespread belief on HN, however, that people are generally very dumb and will mistake autopilot for something more like FSD.

[AlotOfReading]

    There is a widespread belief on HN, however, that people are generally very dumb and will mistake autopilot for something more like FSD.

I think the error here is that you're underestimating just how rare accidents are. Let's imagine there's some monstrously dangerous feature X that results in fatal collisions 10% of the time when misused. If we assume a person either uses it correctly or consistently misuses it, how many people (1 in N) need to be misusers to double the US fatality numbers?

You only need about 1 misuser in every 500-2,000 drivers, depending on how you do the numbers. Now obviously autopilot isn't as dangerous as our hypothetical feature X here, but do you think it's reasonable to argue that a small fraction of a percent of autopilot users might be misled about its capabilities by the name? I think that's a long way from saying "people are generally very dumb".

[seanmcdirmid]

I don’t think they were misled by the name. I dislike musk and Tesla, but the use of autopilot to describe their cruise control is one of those things where they are being fairly pedantic, and, out of character for them, actually technically correct. Anyone who knows what an autopilot does won’t be misled, anyone whose only experience with the term is from the 1979 movie Airplane! (Otto Pilot anyone?) also isn’t going to be misled. Then what we basically have left are HN pedants who themselves personally got the term wrong and didn’t do any due diligence.

[AlotOfReading]

My question is whether you believe the term is so wildly obvious that questioning whether a tiny fraction of a percent of drivers misunderstand it is completely unreasonable. It doesn't rely on Tesla having misused the term at all and for the record, I don't think they are.

But, I don't think it's unreasonable that some of the 5% of US adults who have never been on a plane might not understand what autopilot is in aviation. I don't think it's likely that the 8.4% of US adults who score below the lowest measurable level of PIAAC literacy have a good understanding of the warning messages when you enable Tesla's L2 features, or are digging through the owner's manual to understand them. It seems unlikely that the 3% of adults with <70% IQs are reasoning out the limitations of the system from technical definitions. Hopefully the idea is obvious here. You only need one person out of thousands to make a massively dangerous system. I don't think it's an obviously ridiculous argument that one person out of thousands doesn't fully understand and consider the complicated limitations of such a system.