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by dlubarov 324 days ago
If we assume GHM's data is accurate, Gaza's overall population slightly declined during the first several months of war, but increased since. Casualties have been around ~20k/yr (fighters included), compared to something like ~50k/yr births.

How can it be a "slow, sneaky genocide" if the population is increasing? Has any other group faced serious genocide accusations in relation to an increasing population?
1 comments
judahmeek 324 days ago
That birth rate is not accurate since the war started. Also, death rate is not accurate either if 60k have died in less than two years.

And the lack of trust in Israel's government is due to how little effort they seem to put into distinguishing between civilian and enemy combatant while in control of all surrounding borders.

If things continue as they have, then the number of starvations is about to increase dramatically.

So those who point at the numbers to say it's not genocide have a point, but if deniable genocide is Israel's intent, then all they have to do is continue to withhold food and a lot of Gazans starve to death.

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dlubarov 324 days ago
I wasn't assuming pre-war birth rates. [1] suggests 45~50k/yr; [2] suggests ~34k/yr. They're rough figures, ignoring seasonality etc, but it's clear that there are significantly more births than GHM-reported casualties.

There's certainly food insecurity but it would need to get way worse to make a dent in these numbers; so far it's about 100 reported deaths linked to malnutrition during the conflict.

[1] https://www.savethechildren.net/news/about-130-children-born...

[2] https://news.un.org/en/story/2025/07/1165471

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slashdev 324 days ago
It has to be the most ineptly executed genocide in history - or it’s not a genocide.

There are really only those two options.

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slashdev 324 days ago
I actually agree with this, which is why I don’t think Israel will let starvation happen in Gaza. They’ll do what they have to do, because the can’t afford to have their few remaining allies turn on them.

Time will tell. But they’re not that stupid. I don’t think they’re that evil too, but I don’t have to be right about that.

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