[Aurornis]

I tried to read this, but it feels like another attempt at the “AI 2027” meme where we’re only a couple years away from societal collapse due to AI.

I just can’t take any of these projections seriously when they make claims like that in less than 2 years there will be an AI video streaming service that delivers a perfect custom version of the video to everyone and, as a result, nobody is is going to watch a perfectly executed human film production made in the same year.

Or that in 2.5 years we’ll have perfect holodecks in every home, precipitating a global crisis in society as people are addicted to their AI holodecks.

[vu0tran]

Thanks for giving it a read! Honestly, I hope you're right and I'm wrong. I think for the most part, the things that people talk about and try to predict don't usually come to fruition. It could be that I'm just completely off my rocker and absolutely wrong, in that case, great. Or, it could be that the things we talk about, people internalize which enables us to sidestep the bad reality. Who knows!

Predicting the future is hard and people are never 100% correct.

[Aurornis]

If you’re up for some honest feedback: There are a lot of words here with little substance. The article just spits out a series of sci-fi scenarios without justification, reasoning, or logic other than saying things are going to change rapidly.

[chrsw]

Yes. It's very easy to fall into this trap. It's the classic "overestimate what can be done in 2 years but underestimate what will be done in 20 years".

Life in 2 years will be almost identical to what it is today but life in 20 years will be somewhat different, just not in any way people have predicted so far.

For example, my car is 20 years old but my phone can explain to me how to change many of its parts.