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by CharlesW
325 days ago
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> This seems like a bad sign. Why? > I listened to this podcast last night: It's worth noting that Ed is a PR guy. He's not dumb, but be often adopts whatever (strongly, loosely-held) opinions will get him the most attention for his business and micro-media empire. > We might be in a bubble. Even pre-computing (think electric light and the telegraph), there's never been a notable new technology that didn't have a "bubble" phase as part of the normal technology adoption lifecycle. It's even codified into things like the Gartner Hype Cycle (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gartner_hype_cycle). The companies who don't find product/market fit will die, which is fine and normal. |
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But also with Ed, he echoes my core belief about AI which is all the objective metrics (adoption, retention, revenue, profit) are completely disconnected from the hype. Will LLM's be a $50B industry solving a number of core use cases? Yes, will it be a trillion dollar industry solving all use cases(like the hype suggests and the amount of money being invested requires?)