[oblio]

Again, those prices aren't stable.

Nobody is investing half a trillion in a tech without expecting a 10x return.

And fairly sure soon those $20/month subscriptions will sell your data, shove ads everywhere AND basically only allow you to get that junior dev for 30 minutes per day or 2 days a month.

And the $200/month will probably be $500-1000 with more limitations.

Still cheap, but AI can't run an entire project, can't deliver. So the human will be in the loop, as you said, so at least a partial cost on top.

[alwillis]

What’s different is all the open weight models like Kimi-k2 or Qwen-3 Coder that are as good and, depending on the task, better than Anthropic’s Sonnet model for 80% less via openrouter [1] and other similar services.

You can use these models through Claude Code; I do it everyday.

Some developers are running smaller versions of these LLMs on their own hardware, paying no one.

So I don’t think Anthropic and the other companies can dramatically increase their prices without losing the customers that helped them go from $0 to $4 billion in revenue in 3 years.

Users can easily move between different AI platforms with no lock-in, which makes it harder to increase prices and proceed to enshitify their platforms.

[1]: https://openrouter.ai/

[Quinner]

The wages aren't stable either. There's going to be gradual convergence.

[oblio]

Oh, by the way, this entire discussion revolves around LLMs being an exponential tech. Real life only works with sigmoids.

[CMCDragonkai]

Not gonna happen. The competition for AI models is approaching commodity.