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by JumpCrisscross 324 days ago
> agreements have been reached for more US manufacturing

Simple answer is we won't know for another year or two. These [1] are analogous to bookings. They could be bona fide. Or they could be DOGE figures. (We already know the project at the top of the list is being massively scaled back [2].)

Taking a step back, there is currently zero signal in FDI [3][4].

[1] https://www.whitehouse.gov/articles/2025/06/trump-effect-a-r...

[2] https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/softbank-openai-a3dc57b4?st=7eCi...

[3] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/ROWFDIQ027S

[4] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/ROWFDNQ027S