| I think we need to look at it per type of use. The beauty of the web is its versatility. - It's an ever evolving information repository - the initial use - from Wikipedia to blogs to newspapers. - It's a debate space - forums ( used to be newsgroups ) - It's a transaction space - ecommerce, marketplaces - It's a social space – from keeping in touch to meeting new people – social media, dating websites. used to be irc - It's an entertainment space - tiktok, youtube, netflix, etc... AI will have the harshest initial impact on the information repository use. It will cannibalize it but also needs it to feed itself. The transaction space will be affected. Protocols like MCPs once strengthened will need to support transactions. Payment infrastructure will need to be built for this. Then, the social space will be the weirdest. AI Companions will become ubiquitous, naturally filling the void left by the weakening of the social fabric and loneliness epidemic. For the debate space, 99% of it doesn't play the role of debate, but more of the role of echo chamber and social validation. It's AI Companionship but by community. These spaces will stay. AI is one to one, not one to many. But they will drastically lose appeal. AI will perfectly play this role of validation and echo chamber. Finally, entertainment is already being disrupted. The question will be how the industry as a whole ( it's more than purely content creation, it's the whole mythos creation around it ) will adapt to the possibility of on the fly content creation. AI will become the main human-machine interface, and the role of machines will grow exponentially in our daily lives. The capitalistic concentration that will ensue will be never seen before. The company who will win AI will be the most powerful company in history. They will dominate not only tech, but culture, economics, world view. Remember, GPT2 was only released 6 years ago. |