[hansmayer]

Yes, the first time ever you have an interaction with them did indeed look magical and had something to it, wondering if these machines are passing the Turing test already. Alas, fast forward a few years, and many thousands of LoC generated by paid for 'latest and ever improving models', I was never more certain that the tools are unfortunately just statistical machines and the tail end of the 20+ years of machine learning, that is, learning how to guess outputs based on inputs. Yes you can quickly generate a scaffolding for an app. You can even do more than that, if you are very particular with your prompts. It can even sort-of stand in for the search engines we knew from before 2020s (unfortunately a sub-par replacement imho). But the key thing most of us complain about is that the returns are disproportionately small compared to the huge investments that have been made so far and even more that we have commitments for. More than 200B USD invested so far at least, for an industry generating < 15B revenue in 2024, how is that sound reasoning? How is that revolutionary? Hundreds of billions more promised, for what? So that lazy recruiters can generate job descriptions easier? Imagine the societal change we could have effected if that sort of money was invested in real problems. Hell, I'd propose even Mars colonisation would have been a more noble target then sinking in a trillion dollars over the next years into what? I would respect the VCs and GenAI crowd more if they realised that there may be some potential in the software-development field and focused effort just on that, as specialised field, as this is where we notably have some gains, notably also with a lot of crap to fix along the way. Instead they chose to push it as some kind of a B2C utility that everyone should use, probably aware of high disproportion between the investment and the return. They are desperate for the average Joe to learn to ask Gemini "oh no i spilled some sugar into my bowl, what should i do" - an actual commercial that was aired on TV. There is no cynicism, just evaluating the products realistically and seeing them what they are. The engineers were always the first to promote an innovative product - why are most of us not doing it now? Think about it.