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by 0xDEAFBEAD
334 days ago
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BTW, just for some perspective here. According to Our World in Data, your annual probability of dying in a road accident might be on the order of 1 in 10,000 to 1 in 100,000: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/death-rates-road-incident... Compare with coronal mass ejection: "In 2019, researchers used an alternative method (Weibull distribution) and estimated the chance of Earth being hit by a Carrington-class storm in the next decade to be between 0.46% and 1.88%.[45]" https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Coronal_mass_ejection#Future_r... If we take that number at face value and annualize it, your annual risk of seeing a serious solar storm (power restoration could take months or years) is on the order of 1 in 1,000. 10-100x more likely than dying in a road accident. So why is it that you wear a seatbelt, yet we're not prepping for a serious solar storm? Humans are much better at thinking about "ordinary" recurring risks like car accidents, than "extraordinary" civilization-scale risks. |
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