[rsynnott]

> HN is so weirdly optimistic that SWE jobs will not decline terribly in the age of LLMs.

I mean, this is about the fourth "this will massively reduce the need for programmers" thing in the last 20 years. And it increasing feels like the previous ones; lots of hype, lots of marketing, very little empirical evidence that it's doing anything much.

For CRUD stuff _in particular_, people have been promising CRUD without icky programmers any day now for longer than most users of this website have been alive.

[saguntum]

Yes. "No code" was the hot topic last decade. I think LLMs will make individual programmers more productive, but demand for software is very elastic. Medium-term (next 10-20 years), I think we'll just be producing more software.