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by sorcerer-mar 337 days ago
No no, my point is that it's unbelievably hard to know things. The reason we do unfathomably expensive clinical trials is because that's what's required to isolate signal from noise in a biological system. The reason they fail so frequently is because we're wrong most of the time we try it.

It is absolutely possible to stumble upon things, as is often the origin of hypotheses that develop into drugs, but 99.999% of these will still end up being false.

It's way more likely you found a thing that convinces you it does something desirable in the body than that you actually found something that does something desirable in the body.