[CharlesW]

> MIT estimates only 5% of the workforce can be replaced long term.

The model by MIT's Daron Acemoglu estimates that ~5% of U.S. tasks can be completely and profitably automated by AI within ten years.

It was expressly not a head-count forecast, and didn't attempt to quantify the headcount reduction that AI augmentation could enable.

[another_twist]

https://economics.mit.edu/sites/default/files/2024-04/The%20...

Is this the MIT paper ? In this one the TFP is 0.55%

[red-iron-pine]

i think profitably is the key word here, since AI orgs are burning ungodly amounts of money and electricity and will expect to recoup that money.