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by gruez
359 days ago
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>I’d say that the general drift is that the humans who were doing those low-level jobs have a chance to step up into jobs requiring higher-level intelligence where humans have a chance to really shine. And companies are competing not by just getting rid of salaries, but by providing much better service by being able to afford to have more higher-tier people on the payroll. And by higher-tier, I don’t necessarily mean more expensive. It can be the same people that were doing the low-level jobs; they just now can spend their human-level intelligence doing more interesting and challenging work. That was the narrative last year (ie. that low performers have the most to gain from AI, and therefore AI would reduce inequality), but new evidence seems to be pointing in the opposite direction: https://archive.is/tBcXE >More recent findings have cast doubt on this vision, however. They instead suggest a future in which high-flyers fly still higher—and the rest are left behind. In complex tasks such as research and management, new evidence indicates that high performers are best positioned to work with AI (see table). Evaluating the output of models requires expertise and good judgment. Rather than narrowing disparities, AI is likely to widen workforce divides, much like past technological revolutions. |
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When I'm pulling out all the stops, leaving nothing for the swim back the really powerful (and expensive!) agents are like any of the other all out measures: cut all distractions, 7 days a week, medicate the ADHD, manage the environment ruthlessly, attempt something slightly past my abilities every day. In that zone the truly massive frontier behemoths are that last 5-20% that makes things at the margin possible.
But in any other zone its way too easy to get into "hi agent plz do my job today I'm not up for it" mode, which is just asking to have some paper-mache, plausible if you squint, net liability thing pop out and kind of slide above the "no fucking way" bar with a half life until collapse of a week or maybe month.
These are power user tools for monomaniacal overachievers and Graeberism detectors for everyone else (in the "who am I today" sense, not bucketing people forever sense).