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by charlesju 6351 days ago
5% is not a ridiculous amount.

You have to think about the expected valuation of the startup. What are the odds that this particular startup is going to exit. As a lifestreaming service, I'd say the odds are around .01% (sorry, lets be realistic, web 2.0 doesn't have that many exits).

Given an exit of about $1M, we're talking about an expected valuation of the company at about $1,000 at its current state.

Then the question is, will giving up 5% of the website at its current state increase the expected valuation by more than 5%. I think that with a "kick-ass design" we can raise the success rate to 0.05%. Which increases the overall valuation by more than 5% of the stock given up, which increases the overall expected exit price, ergo 5% is worthwhile.

1 comments

it's one thing for founders to pluck valuations out of the air, and an entirely different thing for us to value the company.

You're quite correct. What if they don't exit? Whats 5% of nothing?

I'd take the cash, thanks