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by pojzon 364 days ago
Due to how AI works its only a matter of time till its better at pretty much everything humans do beside “living”.

People tend to talk about any AI related topic comparing it to any industrial shift that happened in the past.

But its much Much MUCH bigger this time. Mostly because AI can make itself better, it will be better and it is better with every passing month.

Its a matter of years until it can completely replace humans in any form of intellectual work.

And those are not mine words but smartest ppl in the world, like AI grandfather.

We humans think we are special. That there wont be something better than us. But we are in the middle of the process of creating something better.

It will be better. Smarter. Not tired. Wont be sick. Wont ever complain.

And it IS ALREADY and WILL replace a lot of jobs and it will not create new ones purely due to efficiency gains and lack of brainpower in majority of ppl who will be laid off.

Not everyone is a noble prize winner. And soon we will need only such ppl to advance AI.

3 comments

> because AI can make itself better

Can it? I'm pretty sure current AI (not just LLMs, but neural nets more generally) require human feedback to prevent overfitting. Fundamentally eschewing any fear or hope of the singularity as predicted.

AI can not make itself better because it can not meaningfully define what better means.

AlphaEvolved reviewed how its trained and found a way to improve the process.

Its only the beginning. aI agents are able to simulate tasks, get better at them and make themselves better.

At this point its silly to say otherwise.

> Its a matter of years until it can completely replace humans in any form of intellectual work.

This is sensationalism. There’s no evidence in favor of it. LLMs are useful in small, specific contexts with many guardrails and heavy supervision. Without human-generated prior art for that context they’re effectively useless. There’s no reason to believe that the current technical path will lead to much better than this.

Call me when 'AI' cook meals in our kitchens, repairs the plumbing in our homes and removes the trash from the curb.

Automation has costs and imagining what LLMs do now as the start of the self-improving, human replacing machine intelligence is pure fantasy.

To say that this is pure fantasy when there are more and more demos of humanoid robots doing menial tasks, and the costs of those robots are coming down is ... well something. Anger, denial (you are here)...
To say that this is pure fantasy when there are more and more demos of humanoid robots doing menial tasks

A demo is one thing. Being deployed in the real world is something else.

The only thing I've seen humanoid robots doing is dancing and occasionally a backflip or two. And even most of that is with human control.

The only menial task I ever saw a humanoid robot do so far is to take bags off of a conveyor belt, flatten them out and put them on another belt. It did it at about 1/10th the speed of a human, and some still ended up on the floor. This was about a month ago, so the state of the art is still in the demo stage.

I'm waiting. You're talking to someone who believed that self-driving vehicles would put truckers out of work in a decade right around 2012. I didn't think that one through. The world is very complicated and human beings are the cheapest and most effective way to get physical things done.