[dilyevsky]

Giving up nukes was never the intention. They would've slow-boiled the frog and we would one day wake up with a nuclear iran (with icmbs! - not banned under jpoa) if they were smart about it like dprk. Unfortunately for mullahs they weren't and got cocky and overextended. Then 10/7 happened and the rest is like they say history

[mrtksn]

Maybe or maybe not, we will never know that. Who knows how things play out when a country is integrated back in the international system and have something to lose when if get caught on checks. Maybe there would have been a book about how Iran continued its clandestine nuke program but eventually dismantled it as its society and economy normalized and having that had no benefits.

Now we know the timeline where agreements are not honored by the US.

[dilyevsky]

OK but we actually kinda do know that because there were sunsets in that deal which meant we would've gotten here just a few years late.

> Who knows how things play out when a country is integrated back in the international system and have something to lose when if get caught on checks

Ah that's the Merkel's school of international relations =) We also know that with a russia example which you mentioned. Didn't work too well, did it?

Btw, DPRK were also given many concessions and reintegration opportunities (Kaesong) yet that was not the path they chose.

[mrtksn]

Look, I don't know why you believe so much in the imaginary timeline but maybe Iran would have been like Israel: having the bomb and not talking about it.

Who knows, it's all speculation at this point. The current reality is that if you don't have a nuke you get invaded. Everyone will have nuke soon. Those who fail will be destroyed because agreements, international laws etc doesn't mean anything anymore.

[Whoppertime]

Well we know what happened with the nuclear ambitions of Saddam Hussein in Iraq or Muammar Gaddafi in Libya. Their regimes lied about their nuclear capabilities and our regimes also lied about their nuclear capabilities