[sarchertech]

Frameworks and low code systems have been able to do that for years. The reason they haven’t replaced programmers is that every system eventually becomes a special unique snowflake as long as it has time and users.

I’m getting maybe a 10-20% productivity boost using AI on mature codebases. Nice but not life changing.

[spongebobstoes]

a 20% boost is huge, for 3 years since chatgpt. even if it stopped there, that's 20% fewer people that need to be in your role, which is at least tens of thousands of jobs

[sarchertech]

That’s far less than the productivity boost I got by building some internal tooling with phoenix liveview instead of react.

10-20% productivity posts have been happening regularly over the course of my career. They are normally either squandered by inefficient processes or we start building more complex systems.

When Rails was released, for certain types of projects, you could move 3 or 4x faster almost overnight.

[alternatex]

If devs produce 20% more, won't companies hire more since the gain/loss equation is starting to tilt their way even more? I find it odd that people think productivity increases lead to layoffs.

[benjaminwootton]

Assuming there’s fixed demand. If companies can get 20% more software for the same price then there is still a lot of automation to do