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by sjsdaiuasgdia 353 days ago
An Uber driver is in their car while the car is "working". They have the ability to react to any situation because they're physically present. They can protect the asset they have leased.

A Tesla performing overnight robotaxi service while the owner sleeps is a liability to the owner. The car may be damaged, abused, or vandalized. This may be done by people other than the person who requested the ride. The car can notify the owner, but now the owner has to get there (without their car, because their car is there) to react to whatever is happening, long after it has happened.

The proceeds would have to be absolutely massive for me to put up with that. I don't want to run a one car cab company. Offloading the ride hailing and driving aspects is nice, but what's left for me is not a job I want to do. I don't want to wake up at 3 AM to a biohazard notification from my car.

It's just not a good deal for the owner. They're eating all the negatives you called out and taking on substantial risks.

It might be possible to have a robotaxi fleet that makes enough money to pay for the staff and absorb the risks. Losing one vehicle is not a big deal to a fleet. Losing my vehicle is a huge deal to me.

"Your car is also a robotaxi!" is a gimmick for those who have trouble connecting events over time. There will be those who gleefully shout about every robotaxi revenue deposit they get while ignoring what they spent to get it, like a lottery scratch-off player with a $100 win after weeks of losing tickets.

1 comments

The Tesla robotaxi service might fail for a variety of reasons but I'm not convinced that this is one of them. Turo has already somewhat proven the business model of private owners renting out their cars. You can find occasional horror stories of cars being destroyed, but car owners keep using the service.
Turo is a pretty different product than ridesharing. Much closer to traditional rental cars than robotaxis.

For fun, I went to Turo's site to see the shortest interval I could rent - looks like 1 hour. Prices are day-based, like rental cars, and thus are pretty expensive vs what you'd expect to pay for a rideshare. They have very different use cases.

The liability questions are clearer for Turo - you are renting the vehicle to someone for a set period of time and they're responsible for the operation and condition of the vehicle while it's in their possession. That looks completely different in the context of a rideshare customer. The customer is not in control of the vehicle. The customer is only accountable for their own actions.

A robotaxi is going to do rideshare-like behaviors. It will be picking people up and dropping them off from popular spots, and doing it often. A rented car from Turo or anywhere else will have different patterns of usage, many of which will look pretty similar to someone just going about their day. This means robotaxis are easier to identify and target.

IMO they don't look much alike at all.