[rurp]

We're so many years from that point that it's impossible to make reliable predictions. I was hearing these claims over a decade ago and we're only marginally closer. The vast majority of miles driven still happen in locations and/or conditions that self driving isn't reliable at.

There is a massive long tail of unusual cases that happen outside of major cities that nobody is even really trying to solve at the moment because there isn't much of a profit motive compared to dense cities.