[smallmancontrov]

"Tesla has self-driven 4B miles in every corner of the USA, Waymo has only self-driven 0.1B miles in select cities, how pathetic! They are so far behind Tesla it isn't even funny!"

- Me, if I wanted to be equally ham-handed in throwing the comparison for Tesla.

In reality, we are seeing two bets on two different approaches. Do you scale up supervised driving to maximize data collection/diversity and then go unsupervised? Or do you go unsupervised and then scale up problem solving as you go? The cool thing is that both of these approaches are being tried so we will find out. If you want to place a bet of your own, you can find the casino in your favorite brokerage app!

In any case, the videos of what is possible with supervised FSD are quite amazing, certainly not "pathetic," and what remains to be seen is if they can successfully navigate the supervised->unsupervised jump, which is certainly not trivial.

Arc de Triomphe: https://youtu.be/o2xKpbKZLVA?t=7

Busy China: https://youtu.be/ybBpRN4Hqbc?t=13

Manhattan: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qafr3RrJRfU