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by metadat 358 days ago
Normally you are correct, though for the current series of eruptions this year they can often be predicted within a a day or two of accuracy by looking at the micro radians pressure. Once it gets past 12.5, Madame Pēlē is going to start the fountain in short order.

We kept the Kilauea YT stream going 24/7 and just waited till it started and then drove over.

https://youtube.com/watch?v=iws3rh5vLAQ