[chc4]

While everyeone is just unilaterally asserting things, I'll jump in: no they won't. Practically every output of LLMs I've seen (even the "cutting edge" agentic ones that everyone says you have to evaluate or else your opinion don't count) has been poor quality with baffling bugs. These things do actually matter. Especially for anything that can be remotely described as "niche" or "research" they are astonishingly bad - maybe they're great for Go microservices or webdev, but there's a huge gap from there to "the entire software developer industry is doomed". Just calm down, man. You don't have to either breathlessly praise AI or start doomsaying, or say they're flat worthless, but a bit of humility over how uncertain the future may turn out is a noble trait to have.

[parpfish]

I started trying to vibecode over the last couple weeks, and it sucks at 90% of the stuff I have to do at work. That last 10% is nice, but not worth the cost IMO.

However, because I does show promise on a small segment of my work I could see there being an effect on industry where a certain type of dev work gets wiped out. To the extent that there are companies paying people to “be a webmaster” or maintain a basic crud-app, those teams could drastically downsize. Even if that’s just 5% of the total dev population, that’s still a lot of jobs and an entire type of work that just gets wiped out.

[999900000999]

AI is like an intern with a LOC quota to hit.

These tools love to just write new code, they hate refactoring or maintaining code which is what this job actually is.