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by arrowsmith 374 days ago
It would be one way to hire a hitman. A "bet" on the prediction market would effectively function as a bounty on the target's head.

E.g. "I bet $1,000,000 of BTC that [politician] won't be assassinated before the end of 2025. Anyone want to prove me wrong?"

That was effectively the idea behind the "Assassination Market" site that popped up in the early days of Bitcoin [0]. Obviously that was just some stupid fantasy site made by some libertarian crypto weirdo that never led to anything real. (As far as I'm aware, no-one has yet assassinated Barack Obama.) But there's a first time for everything.

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Assassination_market#Assassina...