[Cheer2171]

> If AI systems continue to improve at the current rate and we combine that with improvements in hardware that are measured in orders of magnitude every 15 years or so then it stands to reason that we'll get that "super-intelligent GAI" system any day now.

Oh come off it now. This could have been just a good blog post that didn't make me want to throw my phone across the room. GenAI is a hell of a drug. It's shocking how many technical professionals fall into the hype and become irrationally exuberant.

[Cheer2171]

Even if you are a GAI / super intelligence booster, the limiting factor is clearly software and data. If it is possible, the big tech AI labs already have all the compute they need to make one deployment work. Hardware is limiting for deploying at scale and at a profit.

[moffkalast]

I was more about to point out that the 10x per 15 years for hardware hardly holds anymore for silicon and it's ridiculous to expect that to continue.

[Y_Y]

> it stands to reason that

The upper-class "trust me bro"