[rybosome]

Scale has also built massive amounts of proprietary datasets that they license to the big players in training.

Meta, Google, OpenAI, Anthropic, etc. all use Scale data in training.

So, the play I’m guessing is to shut that tap off for everyone else now, and double down on using Scale to generate more proprietary datasets.

[mliker]

OpenAI and Anthropic rely on multiple data vendors for their models so that no outside company is aware of how they train their proprietary models. Forbes reported the other day that OpenAI had been winding down their usage of Scale data: https://www.forbes.com/sites/richardnieva/2025/06/12/scale-a...

[egillie]

And scale doesn’t even have the best data among these vendors so I also don’t get this argument

[CyberMacGyver]

What are some other options ?

[jen729w]

Good one Zuck.

[hristov]

Inodata

[dr_dshiv]

Yeah, but they know how to get the quality human labeled data at scale better than anyone — and they know what Anthropic and OpenAI wanted — what made it quality

[mattlondon]

I wondered that.

But then huge revenue streams for Scale basically disappear immediately.

Is it worth Meta spending all that money just to stop competitors using Scale? There are competitors who I am sure would be very eager to get the money from Google, OpenAI, Anthropic etc that was previously going to Scale. So Meta spends all that money for basically nothing because the competitors will just fill the gap if Scale is turned-down.

I am guessing they are just buying stuff to try to be more "vertically integrated" or whatever (remember that Facebook recently got caught pirating books etc).

[moralestapia]

Yeah, also the industry could come up with their own Scale if they were forced to.

But probs. it just makes sense on paper, Scale's revenue will pay this for itself and what they could do is to give/keep the best training sets for Meta, for "free" now.

Zuck's not an idiot. The Instagram and WhatsApp acquisitions were phenomenal in hindsight.

[zht]

is he not?

what about the whole metaverse thing and renaming the whole company to meta?

[moralestapia]

The metaverse will happen, IMO. The tech is just not there, yet.

Even if it turns out to be wasted money, which I doubt, he's still sitting on almost 2 trillion. Not an L on my book.

[consumer451]

> The metaverse will happen, IMO. The tech is just not there, yet.

This seems possible, and it just sounds so awful to me. Think about the changes to the human condition that arose from the smartphone.

People at concerts and other events scrolling phones, parents missing their children growing up while scrolling their phones. Me, "watching" a movie, scrolling my phone.

VR/AR makes all that sound like a walk in the park.

[richardw]

“We went outside this weekend. Terrible. I wasn’t hot anymore, the smog was everywhere. House was tiny. No AI to help with conversations and people were unfriendly. I’m staying plugged in, where we can fly amongst the stars on unicorns. Some say it’s fake but I say life has been fake for a while.”

[corimaith]

Meta has done great work on the underlying technology of the metaverse, but what they really need is a killer app. And I don't think Meta or really Silicon Valley types have the proper institutional ability or really cultural acumen to achieve it. We think back to Horizon Worlds that looked more like a amateur weekend asset flip than the product of a billion dollar conglomerate.

If it does come, it will likely come from the gaming industry, building upon the ideas of former mmorpgs and "social" games like Pokemon Go. But recent string of AAA disasters should obviously tell you that building a good game is often orthogonal to the amount of funding or technical engineering. It's creativity, and artistic passion, and that's something that someone who spends their entire life in the real world optimizing their TC for is going to find hard to understand.

[ilteris]

Can you explain 2 trillion

[moralestapia]

What do you mean?

It's this number: 2,000,000,000,000.

[bornfreddy]

What about it? Imagine buying Twitter and renaming it to "X".

[koakuma-chan]

> Yeah, also the industry could come up with their own Scale if they were forced to

I worked at Outlier and it was such a garbage treatment

[trhway]

Meta buys 900 AI employees here at less than $20M/head. Pretty cheap these days. Any IP the company has is a bonus.

[dcsan]

850 people doing data labelling?

[mattlondon]

Nah - I think of Scale as "like Uber but for AI data". I.e. they match humans to AI companies wanting to do RLHF.

[trhway]

i don't think anybody is having data labelers as employees.

[lettergram]

Could be they need a perpetual license to the data too… so they could potentially sue everyone.

[rlt]

Meta “will have a 49% stake in the artificial intelligence startup, but will not have any voting power”

Wouldn’t Scale’s board/execs still have a fiduciary duty to existing shareholders, not just Meta?

[mbesto]

The prevailing theory is that Meta did a 49% deal so it didn't set off anti-trust alarm bells. In other words, the 49% doesn't give them ultimate power, but you can best believe when Meta tells them to jump, the board and the execs are going to ask "how high?".

[delusional]

Yes, but Meta would be able to kick the board and find another one more willing to accept their proposal as the best for shareholders.

[unshavedyak]

Power struggles like this are weird to me. Is kicking the board likely to succeed at 49%? If so it feels like the control percentage isn't the primary factor in actual control.

[flyinglizard]

At 49% I'm certain they would become the largest shareholder, by far. Then allying with another smaller shareholder to get majority - especially as you are Meta and can repay in various ways - is trivial. This is control, in all forms but name.

[tyre]

another shareholder, one of the largest, is the now-former-CEO who now works at Meta. They have full control.

[pixl97]

You only need to convince 2% of the other stakeholders to get your way.

[rlt]

They don’t have voting power.

[delusional]

There's a lot of things shareholders can do to screw over other shareholders. Smaller shareholders are at least somewhat likely to follow along with the largest shareholder, just to avoid becoming their enemies and getting squeezed out.

[Bjorkbat]

It's a smart purchase, it's just that I don't see how these datasets factor into super-intelligence. I don't think you can create a super-intelligent AI with more human data, even if it's high-quality data from paid human contributors.

Unless we watered-down the definition of super-intelligent AI. To me, super-intelligence means an AI that has an intelligence that dwarfs anything theoretically possible from a human mind. Borderline God-like. I've noticed that some people have referred to super-intelligent AI as simply AI that's about as intelligent as Albert Einstein in effectively all domains. In the latter case, maybe you could get there with a lot of very, very good data, but it's also still a leap of imagination for me.

[Fraterkes]

I think this is kind of a philosphical distinction to a lot of people: the assumption is that a computer that can reason like a smart person but still runs at the speed of a computer would appear superintelligent to us. Speed is already the way we distinguish supercomputers from normal ones.

[psb217]

I'd say superintelligence is more about producing deeper insight, making more abstract links across domains, and advancing the frontiers of knowledge than about doing stuff faster. Thinking speed correlates with intelligence to some extent, but at the higher end the distinction between speed and quality becomes clear.

[zozbot234]

If anything, "abstract links across domains" is the one area where even very low intelligence AI's will still have an edge, simply because any AI trained on general text has "learned" a whole lot of random knowledge about lots of different domains; more than any human could easily acquire. But again, this is true of AI's no matter how "smart" they are. Not related to any "super intelligence" specifically.

Similarly, "deeper insight" may be surfaced occasionally simply by making a low-intelligence AI 'think' for longer, but this is not something you can count on under any circumstances, which is what you may well expect from something that's claimed to be "super intelligent".

[psb217]

I don't think current models are capable of making abstract links across domains. They can latch onto superficial similarities, but I have yet to see an instance of a model making an unexpected and useful analogy. It's a high bar, but I think that's fair for declaring superintelligence.

In general, I agree that these models are in some sense extremely knowledgeable, which suggests they are ripe for producing productive analogies if only we can figure out what they're missing compared to human-style thinking. Part of what makes it difficult to evaluate the abilities of these models is that they are wildly superhuman in some ways and quite dumb in others.

[rxtexit]

I think they can make abstract links across domains.

Like the prompt "How can a simplicial complex be used in the creation of black metal guitar music?" https://chatgpt.com/share/684d52c0-bffc-8004-84ac-95d55f7bdc...

It is really more of a value judgement of the utility of the answer to a human.

Some kind of automated discovery across all domain pairs for something that a human finds utility in the answer seems almost like the definition of an intractable problem.

Superintelligence just seems like marketing to me in this context. As if AGI is so 2024.

[zozbot234]

> It's a high bar, but I think that's fair for declaring superintelligence.

I have to disagree because the distinction between "superficial similarities" and genuinely "useful" analogies is pretty clearly one of degree. Spend enough time and effort asking even a low-intelligence AI about "dumb" similarities, and it'll eventually hit a new and perhaps "useful" analogy simply as a matter of luck. This becomes even easier if you can provide the AI with a lot of "context" input, which is something that models have been improving at. But either way it's not superintelligent or superhuman, just part of the general 'wild' weirdness of AI's as a whole.

[CamperBob2]

I don't know about "useful" but this answer from o3-pro was nicely-inspired, I thought: https://chatgpt.com/share/684c805d-ef08-800b-b725-970561aaf5...

I wonder if the comparison is actually original.

[edmundsauto]

My POV, speed + good evaluation are all you need. Infinite monkeys and Shakespeare.

[echelon]

> It's a smart purchase, it's just that I don't see how these datasets factor into super-intelligence.

It's a smart purchase for the data, and it's a roadblock for the other AI hyperscalers. Meta gets Scale's leading datasets and gets to lock out the other players from purchasing it. It slows down OpenAI, Anthropic, et al.

These are just good chess moves. The "super-intelligence" bit is just hype/spin for the journalists and layperson investors.

[Bjorkbat]

> These are just good chess moves. The "super-intelligence" bit is just hype/spin for the journalists and layperson investors.

Which is kind of what I figured, but I was curious if anyone disagreed.

[ryanblakeley]

Super-intelligent game-playing AIs, for decades, were trained on human data.

[zozbot234]

I'll believe that AI is anywhere near as smart as Albert Einstein in any domain whatsoever (let alone science-heavy ones, where the tiniest details can be critical to any assessment) when it stops making stuff up with the slightest provocation. Current 'AI' is nothing more than a toy, and treating it as super smart or "super intelligent" may even be outright dangerous. I'm way more comfortable with the "stochastic parrot" framing, since we all know that parrots shouldn't always be taken seriously.

[Applejinx]

Earlier today in a conversation about how AI ads all look the same, I described them as 'clouds of usually' and 'a stale aftertaste of many various things that weren't special'.

If you have a cloud of usually, there may be perfectly valid things to do with it: study it, use it for low-value normal tasks, make a web page or follow a recipe. Mundane ordinary things not worth fussing over.

This is not a path to Einstein. It's more relevant to ask whether it will have deleterious effects on users to have a compliant slave at their disposal, one that is not too bright but savvy about many menial tasks. This might be bad for people to get used to, and in that light the concerns about ethical treatment of AIs are salient.

[xpe]

> I'm way more comfortable with the "stochastic parrot" framing, since we all know that parrots shouldn't always be taken seriously.

First, comfort isn't a great gauge for truth.

Second, many of us have seen this metaphor and we're done with it, because it confuses more than it helps. For commentary, you could do worse than [1] and [2]. I think this comment from [2] by "dr_s" is spot on:

    > There is no actual definition of stochastic parrot, it's just a derogatory
    > definition to downplay "something that, given a distribution to sample
    > from and a prompt, performs a kind of Markov process to repeatedly predict
    > the most probable next token".
    >
    > The thing that people who love to sneer at AI like Gebru don't seem to
    > get (or willingly downplay in bad faith) is that such a class of functions
    > also include thing that if asked "write me down a proof of the Riemann
    > hypothesis" says "sure, here it is" and then goes on to win a Fields
    > medal. There are no particular fundamental proven limits on how powerful
    > such a function can be. I don't see why there should be.

I suggest this: instead of making the stochastic parrot argument, make a specific prediction: what level of capabilities are out of reach? Give your reasons, too. Make your writing public and see how you do. I agree with "dr_s" -- I'm not going to bet against the capabilities of transformer based technologies, especially not ones with tool-calling as part of their design.

To go a step further, some counter-arguments take the following shape: "If a transformer of size X doesn't have capability C, wait until they get bigger." I get it: this argument can feel unsatisfying to the extent it is open-ended with no resolution criteria. (Nevertheless, increasing scale has indeed shown to make many problems shallow!) So, if you want to play the game honestly, require specific, testable predictions. For example, ask a person to specify what size X' will yield capability C.

[1]: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HxRjHq3QG8vcYy4yy/the-stocha...

[2]: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7aHCZbofofA5JeKgb/memetic-ju...

[deah12]

btw, question

Isn't stochastic parrot just a modern reframing of Searle's Chinese room, or am I oversimplifying here?

[logicchains]

It seems very short-sighted given how far Meta's latest model release was behind Qwen and DeepSeek, both of which relied heavily on automatically generated reasoning/math/coding data to achieve impressive results, not human annotated data. I.e. Scale's data is not going to help Meta build a decent reasoning model.

[steve_adams_86]

Isn’t this monopolistic?

[JumpCrisscross]

> Isn’t this monopolistic?

By whom? The fact that there is a list of competitors means Meta has no monopoly in AI. And Scale AI has no monopoly in labelled data.

It’s anticompetitive. But probably not to an illegal extent. Every “moat” is, after all, a measure in anticompetitiveness.

[hn_throwaway_99]

Which is a primary reason Meta took a 49% stake in Scale vs buying them outright.

[steve_adams_86]

Ah, my mistake. I thought the arrangement was allowing for more control over access to the company. I should pay closer attention.

[sumtechguy]

yes probably. but it already is. there is also an assumption that meta would turn it off. not saying they will or will not just that there an assumption here.