[sota_pop]

Not sure what you mean by “not trained to saturation”. Also I agree with the article, in the literature, the phenomenon to which the article refers is known as “catastrophic forgetting”. Because no one has specific knowledge about which weights contribute to model performance, by updating the weights via fine-tuning, you are modifying the model such that future performance will change in ways that are not understood. Also I may be showing my age a bit here, but I always thought “fine-tuning” was performing additional training on the output network (traditionally a fully-connected net), but leaving the initial portion (the “encoder”) weights unchanged - allowing the model to capture features the way it always has, but updating the way it generates outputs based on the discovered features.

[Mathnerd314]

OK, so this intuition is actually a bit hard to unpack, I got it from bits and pieces. So this is this post https://www.fast.ai/posts/2023-09-04-learning-jumps/. Essentially, a single pass over the training data is enough for the LLM to significantly "learn" the material. In fact if you read the LLM training papers, for the large-large models, they generally explicitly say that they only did 1 pass over the training corpus, and sometimes not even the full corpus, only like 80% of it or whatever. The other relevant information is the loss curves - models like Llama 3 are not trained until the loss on the training data is minimized, like typical ML models. Rather they use these approximate estimates of FLOPS / tokens vs. performance on benchmarks. But it is pretty much guaranteed that if you continued to train on the training data it would continue to improve its fit - 1 pass over the training data is by no means enough to adequately learn all of the patterns. So from a compression standpoint, the paper I linked previously says that an LLM is a great compressor - but it's not even fully tuned, hence "not trained to saturation".

Now as far as how fine-tuning affects model performance, it is pretty simple: improves fit on the fine-tuning data, decreases fit on original training corpus. Beyond that, yeah, it is hard to say if fine-tuning will help you solve your problem. My experience has been that it always hurts generalization, so if you aren't getting reasonable results with a base or chat-tuned model, then fine-tuning further will not help, but if you are getting results then fine-tuning will make it more consistent.

[sota_pop]

Always appreciated the work of Jeremy Howard. Also had a lot of fun using the Fast.ai framework. My experience is similar to your description. When using 2, 3, or more epochs, felt that overfitting started to emerge. (And I was CERTAINLY not training models anywhere near the size of modern LLMs) I suppose in this case by “saturation” you meant training “marginally before exhibiting over-fitting” - something akin to “the elbow method” w.r.t. clustering algorithms? I’ll have to chew on your description of overfitting results for a while. It jives with mine, but in a way that really makes me question my own - thanks for the thought provoking response!