[fallingknife]

We operate cars on the road with not only no centralized system, but also minimally defined and enforced protocol, and yet Waymo has achieved a near zero collision rate inside a swarm of cars that are not running equivalent software. And this is in a situation where cars are only a few feet from each other while operating at top speed. So you can come up with a million objections but they are all solvable. As for automation failure, the rate of that can be easily made lower than the rate of human failure, which currently is fatal to a plane.

[const_cast]

Waymo is significantly more dangerous than air travel to a degree that the comparison is actively offensive to everyone currently alive on Earth.

We can't even get cars, working in more-or-less two dimensions, to go without constantly running into each other and being one of the major causes of death in human civilizations. Waymo "solved" that problem in about, oh let me see here... yeah 0.0001% of cases. So, we're almost there! That's, like a couple cities out of all cities on Earth.

Yeah that's bad. Really, really, really bad. Like so bad it's not even worth talking about and comparing to air travel.

[viraptor]

That's a completely different system. In a car everything still resolves in seconds and needs minimal planning -corrections can happen in real time. That's completely different from "there's a queue of planes coming in and you have to manage the throughput available on the ground". You can't just hit emergency breaks on everything and slowly resolve the situation. These things are not comparable.

[lurking_swe]

99.9% success rate is probably not good enough when you consider that the vehicle in question costs $200 million, and has 150 - 350 humans on board. It’s not a “whoopsie” like with cars where the damage is $50k at most (waymo vehicle) and maybe 2-3 people injured or dead. Also dead pilots who are already in short supply.

Also cars only care about what’s going on in a horizontal plane. 3D space is clearly more complex and probably requires more computational power i’m sure. Consider that boeing couldn’t even correctly write software to keep their 737 MAX planes from crashing into the ground (MCAS software issue). Something that simple was too hard for them. Speaks volumes doesn’t it?

Not saying it’s impossible. Just saying that this clearly isn’t a “just do it” problem. Waymo’s been working on their software for how many years now? and they still have minor crashes lol. Not an easy problem at all.

Also consider that airlines usually outsource their software development so they don’t have cutting edge expertise in house.