Occam's Razor should not be used for self-harm. Two of the guys at the head of the biggest open conspiracies in the world are likely to be conspiring if their actions result in favorable conditions.
This social media spat is happening immediately after "Welcomefest," a bizarre Republican-light centrist conference, and positions Elon Musk to capture the centrist Democratic apparatus. This follows a pattern of fecklessness and capitulation from the party's power centers, including major Democratic figures advocating for realignment with MAGA on core issues.
There's another pattern too: we have seen a concerted effort from the MAGA movement to capture societal institutions and forcibly reform them into alignment with their radical agenda to replace the US Constitution. Aligning the DNC into a technocratic fascist organization that supports their monarchic visions of domination will be an incredible humiliation (though far from the last). And quite simple.
I'm going to assume conspiracy from the guys arrogant enough to get caught boasting that the opposition is too credulous to accept an open conspiracy.
I’m not debating the potential accuracy of anyone’s interpretation, just commenting on the degree of simplicity of those interpretations.
It’s a Razor, not a law, so it isn’t going to be 100% accuracy or predictive. But to suggest that the Razor can be used in conjunction with a long, complex explanation is a contradiction.
> Two of the guys at the head of the biggest open conspiracies in the world are likely to be conspiring if their actions result in favorable conditions
This is not long or complex. It can be reduced to "liars lie" if that helps.