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by brookst 380 days ago
Odds in one attempt: 1 in 32

Odds in two attempts: 1 in 1

2 comments

Your odds add up to more than 1.
Probabilities sum to 1.0. Odds don't sum.
Odds of getting it within 2 attempts is 1. Odds of getting it on exactly the second attempt is 31/32
Ooops:

You won!

You guessed 01111 in 4 attempts!

Well yeah and a fair coin has P(heads) == P(tails) == 0 for someone who eats it.