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by the_mitsuhiko 374 days ago
> You can, just like you can theoretically use something else than Windows or MS Office. Until it's an entire ecosystem after a decade or two, and a workforce trained for that ecosystem, instead of right now easily substitutable AI providers.

Author here: I had that thought for a while but I don't currently think that AI will unfold the same way (and I mentioned that in the post linked). I believe that at the speed this is going, and the innovation happening everywhere this will be a market with many models and players.

1 comments

Yes, and so was OS and office suite.

Nobody says it is going to happen next year, or even within five years.

But eventually, as the technology matures and gets more and more integrated in businesses' IT, they will have ever more dependencies around the AI. Glue code on several levels (from dev-ops to user level code), 3rd party, training. There is no technical reason for React to dominate Javascript GUI dev either, and plenty of alternatives - and that is a far milder amount of external dependencies than you have with fundamental tech like AI, since it is far down towards the leave nodes of business dependencies.

If people start adding a lot of code around a solution, training, and include third party apps, libs or tools they have to choose one.

Unless you think that the interfaces for all basic AI interfaces and APIs will be standardized, and you will be able to exchange them while keeping everything you yourself added around that AI?

Or, do you think those AIs will be used as-is, no additional dependencies will be added on the business side? And that being trained for one - as average person, not the leading-edge people interested enough to teach themselves as they do now - means you can use them all?