Hacker News new | ask | show | jobs
by ToucanLoucan 381 days ago
LLMs are a legitimate technology with legitimate applications. However in a desperate bid for a new iPhone moment to assure Wall Street that the fantasy of infinite growth in a finite world is possible, they have utterly lost the plot regarding what statistical analysis of words at scale is capable of doing. Useless? Far from it. The basis for a 300 billion company with no meaningful products after almost a decade working on it? I have doubts.

I can't fathom a future where OpenAI for sure doesn't eat dirt, with Anthropic likely not far behind it. nVidia will likely come out fine, since it still has gamers to disappoint, and the infrastructure build out that did occur will crater the cost of GPUs at scale for smaller, smarter companies to take advantage of. So it will likely still kick around, but as another technology, not the second coming of Cyber Christ as it's been hyped to be.

1 comments

You seriously underestimate the appeal of burning cycles on GPUs to get something cool, if barely useful, out. Cryptocurrencies are still very much alive, too.
> Cryptocurrencies are still very much alive, too.

Yeah, like I said, LLMs will be around. Frankly I think they'll be way more around than crypto which as far as the mainstream is concerned might as well be dead.