[rvz]

This is nothing (it will get worse) compared to what will happen in 2030.

Just look at what is happening in just the last 5 to 6 months since this prediction was made [0]. The definition of "AGI" was hijacked to mean all sorts of things to the companies that operate the AI systems, even conflicting with each other on timeframes and goals.

But what really is the true definition of "AGI" is the blueprint inside the WEF's Future of Jobs Report 2025 [1] with the deadline of 2030 including mass layoffs which 40% of employers admittedly anticipate reducing their workforce where AI can automate tasks, as I said before [2]

So what AGI actually means is a 10% global unemployment increase by 2030 or 2035 and with all those savings going to the AI companies.

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42490692

[1] https://www.weforum.org/publications/the-future-of-jobs-repo...

[2] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42652402

[Maro]

> with all those savings going to the AI companies

I'm not even sure those savings will "go" anywhere, they will just stay with the companies. Right now, if I use my $20/mo ChatGPT subscription to automate away my secretary's job ($3,000/mo or whatever), it's not like those $3,000/mo is going to OpenAI. And I don't think in the future they will be able to jack up prices, because foundational LLM models have become a race to the bottom.

[disqard]

Great point! And also an uncomfortable truth: this sort of use (to replace human jobs) will be a net negative on GDP. That secretary will now have to make do with a lot less money, so they'll make fewer/cheaper purchases, etc.

However, the "number go up" crowd doesn't give a fuck about the secretaries -- so they will chant "AI! AI! AI!" to juice the stock and make out like bandits, while they still can.