[jaynetics]

I think some more white collar jobs might be affected, not just creative ones. There is a substantial amount of jobs where the end result needs to be of a certain quality, but all context can be inferred or provided up front, and checking and correcting a result is quicker than producing it manually. Think e.g. law or translations. Translators, proofreaders, and others are already feeling the squeeze.

In other cases, like software development, there is a split between tasks of a narrow scope and those of a wide scope. Creating one-shot pieces of software is kind of a solved issue now. Maintaining some relatively self-contained piece of software might soon turn into a task for single maintainers that review AI PRs. The more the bottleneck is context tracking, as opposed to producing code, the less useful the AI. I am uncertain, however, how the millions of devs in the world are distributed on this continuum.

I am also skeptical about legal protections or unionization, as many of these jobs are quite suited to international competition.