[seadan83]

> It's like chess. Humans are better for now, they won't be forever

This is not an obviously true statement. There needs to be proof that there are no limiting factors that are computationally impossible to overcome. It's like watching a growing child, grow from 3 feet to 4 feet, and then saying "soon, this child will be the tallest person alive."

[abalashov]

With these "AGI by 2027" claims, it's not enough to say that the child will be the tallest person alive. They are saying the child will be the tallest structure on the planet.

[overfeed]

One of my favourite XKCD comics is about extrapolation https://xkcd.com/605/