[jldugger]

From the abstract

> A simple trading rule turns this calibration edge into $127 of hypothetical profit versus $92 for o1 (p = 0.037).

I'm lazy: is this hypothetical shooting fish in a barrel, or is it a real edge?

[nyrikki]

Note the 'hypothetical profit' part , I know of several groups looking for opportunities to skim off LLM traders, leveraging its limited sensitivity, expressiveness, and the loss of tail data.

Predictive AI is problematic no matter what tool you use. Great at demoware that doesn't deliver.

I am sure there are use cases, but it would be augmentation, not a reliable approach by itself.