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by crakhamster01 392 days ago
I'm increasingly certain that companies leaning too far into the AI hype are opening themselves up to disruption.

The author of this post is right, code is a liability, but AI leaders have somehow convinced the market that code generation on demand is a massive win. They're selling the industry on a future where companies can maintain "productivity" with a fraction of the headcount.

Surprisingly, no one seems to ask (or care) about how product quality fares in the vibe code era. Last month Satya Nadella famously claimed that 30% of Microsoft's code was written by AI. Is it a coincidence that Github has been averaging 20 incidents a month this year?[1] That's basically once a work day...

Nothing comes for free. My prediction is that companies over-prioritizing efficiency through LLMs will pay for it with quality. I'm not going to bet that this will bring down any giants, but not every company buying this snake oil is Microsoft. There are plenty of hungry entrepreneurs out there that will swarm if businesses fumble their core value prop.

[1] https://www.githubstatus.com/history

2 comments

> I'm increasingly certain that companies leaning too far into the AI hype are opening themselves up to disruption.

I am in the other camp. Companies ignoring AI are in for a bad time.

Haha, I tried to couch this by adding "too far", but I agree. Companies should let their teams try out relevant tools in their workflows.

My point was more of a response to the inflated expectations that people have about AI. The current generation of AI tech is rife with gotchas and pitfalls. Many companies seem to be making decisions with the hope that they will out-innovate any consequences.

How so? Not enough art slop logos so they don't have to pay an artist? Other than in maximizing shareholder return I fail to see how foregoing AI is putting them "behind".

AI, especially for programming, is essentially no better than your typical foriegn offshore programming firm, with nonsensical comments and sprawling conflicting code styles.

If it eventually becomes everything the proponents say it will, they could always just start using it more.

I agree with this. "Companies which overuse AI now will inherit a long tail of costs" [1]

[1] AI: Accelerated Incompetence. https://www.slater.dev/accelerated-incompetence/