[xnickb]

What do you base your certainty on? Were there any significant enough breakthroughs in the AGI?

[scotty79]

ARC-AGI, while imagined as super hard for AI, was beaten enough that they had to come up with ARC-AGI-2.

[hbsbsbsndk]

"AI tend to be brittle and optimized for specific tasks, so we made a new specific task and then someone optimized for it" isn't some kind of gotcha. Once ARC puzzles became a benchmark they ceased to be meaningful WRT "AGI".

[scotty79]

So if DOTA became a benchmark same way Chess or Go became earlier it would be promptly beaten. It just didn't stick before people moved to more useful "games".