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by queenkjuul 391 days ago
Far as I'm concerned, it's getting better every week in the way Tesla self driving got better every week. Is it closer to its goal? Yes. Does it give value to its users? Arguably yes, but not really.

Is it, in 2025, actually better than a real human at its designated task? Pretty universally no.

So i won't be surprised when the "last 10%" of software AI takes 30 years to close the gap that 20 years of "immanent self driving" is still yet to close.

We should all understand, i would think, that the last 10% is the hard part.

1 comments

It's a fair point. It's hard to know where we are in the S curve. Considering how much better it's gotten in the past 12 months I don't get the sense that we're decelerating towards a plateau of capability, but it's certainly possible