[whatnow37373]

The CPU development curve is often thrown around but it very seldomly fits anything else in reality. It was a very rare and extraordinary set of coincidences that got it us here. Computation using silicon turned out to have massive growth potential for a variety of lucky reasons but say battery tech is not so lucky, nor is fusion nor is quantum computing.

The low hanging fruit has been plucked by said silicon development process and while remarkable improvement in AI efficiency is likely it is highly unlikely for that to follow a similar curve.

More likely is slow, incremental process taking decades. We cannot just wish away billions of parameters and the need for trillions of operations. It’s not like we have some open path of possible improvement like with silicon. We walked that path already.

Maybe photonics..