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Calling it now - RL finally "just works" for any domain where answers are easily verifiable. Verifiability was always a prerequisite, but the difference from prior generations (not just AlphaGo, but any nontrivial RL process prior to roughly mid-2024) is that the reasoning traces and/or intermediate steps can be open-ended with potentially infinite branching, no clear notion of "steps" or nodes and edges in the game tree, and a wide range of equally valid solutions. As long as the quality of the end result can be evaluated cleanly, LLM-based RL is good to go. As a corollary, once you add in self-play with random variation, the synthetic data problem is solved for coding, math, and some classes of scientific reasoning. No more modal collapse, no more massive teams of PhDs needed for human labeling, as long as you have a reliable metric for answer quality. This isn't just neat, it's important - as we run out of useful human-generated data, RL scaling is the best candidate to take over where pretraining left off. |
I guess that's now becoming true with LLMs.
Faster LLMs -> More intelligence