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by itchyjunk 402 days ago
Could you please elaborate what less or more calibrated means here? Thanks!
2 comments

For binary labels: you take a slice of labeled data. The mean of the ML model prediction on this data is different from the mean of the label. In practice, often a synonym for "loss is worse / could be better".

Not sure if that's what the GP meant, I only worked with binary labels stuff.

Calibration (in a binary context) basically means that the confidence of a model/score matches the probability that a particular label is positive or not.

For instance, a calibrated classifier for a coin flip predictor should output 50-50. A poorly calibrated classifier would output higher confidence for heads/tails.