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by fc417fc802
409 days ago
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No one said anything about a maximally accurate estimate. This is exactly the sort of obtuse attitude I'm objecting to. By complicating factors I was referring to things that are known to have a notable impact on the outcome of this specific procedure. This is just summarizing what's known. It explicitly does not take into account the performance of any particular professional, team, or site. Something like MRSA is entirely separate. "The survival rate is 98 out of 100, but in this region of the country people recovering from this sort of thing have been exhibiting a 10% risk of MRSA. Unfortunately our facility is no exception to that." If the recipients of a procedure are predominately female and the patient is a male then you simply indicate that to them. "The historical rate is X out of Y, but you're a bit unusual in that only 10% of past recipients are men. I'm afraid I don't know what the implications of that fact might be." You provide the known facts and make clear what you don't know. No weasel words - if you don't know something then admit that you don't know it but don't use that as an excuse to hide what you do know. It's utterly unhelpful. |
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most people cannot think like this
I'm not talking about patients, I'm talking about everyone, including doctors. They just can't think in a probabilistic sense. And you'll counter that it's just reporting facts, but they don't even know which ones to report to you, how to report them, none of it. It just doesn't seem to fit in many peoples heads.