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by majormajor 410 days ago
My point is not about match quality, it's about conversion rate and chemistry - which we don't know how to quantify precisely, but is majorly influenced by very concrete, non-abstract, social skills, styles, and tendencies.

Time spent chatting with a machine is time not spent interacting with people. That is mutually exclusive. Sure, it's not guaranteed that it's displacing time spent interacting with people - it may be displacing time spent dicking around with machines in other ways. Someone might already not be interacting with people. But then this doesn't fix this. If you're talking with ChatGPT instead of messaging people on a dating app, sending out messages on LinkedIn, or chatting on Reddit, you'll get even less social feedback than you do through those today.

The connections could be perfectly well-matched. But the conversion rate depends on things other than that match quality. And those are all the things that you can't practice in front of a screen. If someone fumbles the bag when meeting someone in person for the first time, the only thing that will help them is repetition and practice. It's hard. It's frustrating. It's demoralizing. But it will still be necessary even with "better okcupid."

> Imagine a matchmaker AI that is so smart that it can “intuit” what might work for you that you don’t even realize, based on data

I'm not imagining that here, I'm imagining the "merge our chat GPT conversation history contexts" scenario. A super-human AI could potentially do all sorts of things to help mitigate the lack of practice at live human interaction that today's tools result in. Or it could turn people into wireheads who abandon society altogether. I think we're enough years away from that that to not find it particularly worth addressing. It's not going to make anyone's life better in the immediate future. Practicing will. Talking to ChatGPT instead of getting out there won't.

1 comments

Alright, I'll humor you. Is your assertion falsifiable?

People will always choose the more efficient option. If it takes me 15 hours being "out there" to manually find 1 possible work or romantic interest, and this hypothetical service just keeps dumping possible matches into my inbox of which just 20% pass what I'll call the "irrational interaction test" (i.e. "things other than match quality"), that's still a massive efficiency increase. So both a "better OKCupid", and a "better Linkedin/Dice/etc". I could still go out and touch grass and try to let serendipity do its work.

The question I'm asking is, if you're arguing against this, then are you also arguing against the OKCupids of the world? What about other automated forms of matchmaking? Are you saying those are taking more than they're giving (at least as far as "enriching people's lives" is concerned)? Why would some service that might do this an order of magnitude better (even if "things other than match quality" still counted for a lot), not be an overall good?

> Alright, I'll humor you.

I stopped reading here. I don't think it's possible to have a constructive conversation with someone who communicates this way. The snotty disrespect rules out productive exchange of ideas.

I am not trying to convey snotty disrespect, otherwise I would not have bothered answering. The "I'll humor you" was delivered with a playful smile on my end, if you can picture that (an argument for in-person interaction if I ever saw one!). I am actually curious about your perspective. Sorry about the miscommunication or poor word/phrasing choice. Perhaps ChatGPT would have helped me word it better (rimshot)
Helpful reminder that tone is hard both to convey and to detect. Best to be generous when we make assumptions. Thanks for explaining.
The problem is that I'm still curious about your answer to the question in my third paragraph, with the perspective I tried to add in my 2nd paragraph lol

Unfortunately it all came crashing down in my 1st paragraph